Thursday, 1 December 2011

6:00 Wolverhampton (1st December) Horse Racing Tips/Result

A Maiden over 5f 216y. Quite an interesting field of colts & fillies. Mezzotint ran surprisingly well on debut at Yarmouth over 6f. A 100/1 shot that day, this son of Diamond Green gave little pressure to the easy winner, trained by Roger Varian. On balance, that was a weak maiden. The third, Cappielow Park, has run well since but improved a good deal on that initial start. It is intriguing why Leonidas Marinopolous sold this two-year-old at the Newmarket October sales for 26,000gns, especially so considering it cost £31,000 as a yearling.

Now in the ownership of Miss A Bonito, Mezzotint has moved from the care of Luca Cumani to Marco Botti. This bay colt is presently favourite on the exchanges. After showing promise on his first start there should be improvement to come although at restrictive odds it might pay to take a watching brief.

Chapellerie, trained by Brian Meehan, could be a fair each way selection.This daughter of Acclamation cost 42,000gns and is held in some regard by the stable. Being relatively fancied on all three starts to date - far from disgraced - this looks a much easier contest. This filly has been entered to run at Group, Listed & Stakes level this year but not fulfilled those engagements. Those entries could well prove significant for this run-of-the-mill maiden. After an absence of almost one hundred days, fitness must be taken on trust and for that reason the betting could be telling. A substantial drift in the market may be indicative of needing the run. However, this must be considered a drop in class and with experience on side I would expect a big run.

Nick Littmoden is a talented trainer but even he has struggled to find a win for Millibar. This drop back to 6f doesn't look a positive move and I would have concerns she may be outpaced. It doesn't help that she has been prone to starting awkwardly.

An outsider worth a second look is Chart. William Jarvis has been in good for with his two-year-olds over this winter campaign and this son of Dutch Art is a good-looking colt. He was fancied to go well in a poor race on debut but inexperience cost him dear and a slow start gave little hope. He showed good pace at Doncaster when a 50/1 shot but unquestionably went a shade too quick on testing conditions and tired in the closing stages. We haven't seen the best of this juvenile and although a wide draw isn't ideal I can see him showing up well. If backed, take serious note of this juvenile. 

Of the others, Hurry Up George may have claims on his debut. Ralph Beckett is a canny trainer who has a respectable strike rate and often goes well at a price. A cheap purchase at 8,000gns, this gelding will need to be clued-up to show ability on his first start, especially on a turning track which is never easy.

Conclusion: Mezzotint will probably be all the rage but it may be a negative being a recent sale. Botti knows what he is doing but at short odds I would have to take a watching brief.Chapellerie is probably better than we have seen so far. I am pretty sure this filly is held in some regard by the stable and although no superstar should enjoy this drop in class, a race with has little strength in depth. If drifting to an each way price this would be a good bet although it would be a problem if needing the race after a lengthy spell on the side lines. Chart could go well at a price. William Jarvis is a talented trainer and he is not the sort to waste his time keeping juveniles on the go for no reason. A good-looking colt, who hasn't had any luck on his first two starts. It wouldn't be a surprised to see this youngster backed and it could be worth wagering a few quid in anticipation of a gamble. At odds of 16/1 with bookmakers, he could run a big race and at the least make a bold show.

HCE: ''A solid performance from Mezzotint who always sat handy and held the late charge of the well backed Hurry Up George. Sky Crossing was inexperienced in third but a nice big colt who will be winning. Chapellerie may have needed the run while Chart was too keen and showed little.''