Monday, 12 December 2011

3:15 Wolverhampton (12th December) Horse Racing Tips/Result

A Maiden Stakes over 5f20y. A fair race for this grade. Lost City is an interesting juvenile. This 50,000gns yearling is owned by Sir Alex Ferguson & Jack Hanson. This son of Elusive City was all the rage when sent to the Curragh to make his debut, just before the start of the British Flat season. On soft ground, he failed to make a show at odds on. Richard Fahey had kept this youngster under wraps until November. He returned a gelding. After being very weak in the betting, Lost City was well backed just before the off and ran an encouraging race. Perhaps he was a little ring rusty, slow away from the stalls, but plugged on well to the line behind Andrew Balding's easy winner, Intransigent. On balance, that was a decent race, with the third, Lupo D'Oro, a proven form horse who has plenty enough ability to win an all-weather maiden.

Lost City could prove to be a talented two-year-old and a horse which is progressing with racing. Whether this minimum trip is ideal is a matter of debate. With that recent experience, he may sit handy, although I would have slight concerns he will be outpaced but run on well at the line. With that in mind, Lost City may touch bigger odds in-running. It is always a positive for a horse to finish a race and this looks the one to beat.

There looks to be two main horses in opposition: Jawala & Flaming Ferrari. The former trained by Robert Cowell has shown a level of ability and looks the type to win a poor race. The latter, trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam, was sent off favourite when running over 7f at Kempton. After pulling hard, this daughter of Authorized failed to deliver. Her dam was a 5f winner, so it might just be the case this minimum trip is the answer. However, as far as proven form goes, she has achieved little and consequently difficult to assess.

Conclusion: Lost City is the most likely winner. Whether 5f is his favoured trip only time will tell. Clearly, he ran well at Lingfield and should finish with purpose. However, if Fahey's juveniles struggles to go the pace, much bigger odds may be available in-running. I think he will go well. Jawala has place claims, while Flaming Ferrari could be a dark horse but difficult to assess and best watched.

HCE: ''Jawala had few concerns taking this in style. Lost City was always struggling after a tardy start - similar to last time - but looked a forlorn hope with Cowell's youngster holding the aces. Lost City was simply too far off the pace and didn't look the most enthusiastic of runners. Perhaps 6f would be in his favour but on this showing looks one to leave alone.''