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Thursday, 3 November 2011

4:30 Wolverhampton (3rd November) Horse Racing Tips/Result

Selections Made By Clockwork Mechanism
A Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 216y.

A poor race. It wouldn't be a surprise if any of these finished first or last. Someone has to win! At her best, Rockme Cockney would take all the beating. However, her last two performances have not warmed the heart. They certainly haven't warmed the hands of those who backed this daughter of Cockney Rebel as they found their pockets a cold, empty place. I would have serious concerns she has regressed. A horse to be very careful with and best watched. 

*Ionwy is limited. In any other race I would look elsewhere. But in such a lowly affair this daughter of Piccolo might just have a glimmer of hope for Haydn Jones. From a low draw she will show good pace, unlike many of the opposition. Frankie McDonald has ridden this filly and knows her strengths and it could well be a positive move to blast off from the stalls and take the initiative. Being a pacey sort, she should sit in a handy position and then it's fingers crossed to the line. A limited horse but determined juvenile who has win and place claims.

Hans Adielsson has taken all season to get his two-year-olds into form and Compton Ashdown is quite fancied in the betting after a running-on third over 5f at this track on debut. That was a poor race (beyond the winner and Yeeow who disappointed). This Erik Penser-owned horse should improve for this step up in distance and being lightly raced at least remains hopeful that she is not as limited as some in this field. A difficult juvenile to assess but one with a fighting chance if progressing.

It is interesting to see Hanagan riding for James Givens. Trioomph hasn't achieved a great deal as yet but this drop in grade should help. 

With such limited form horses, the sole debutante, Incendiary, trained by Hugo Palmer, is worthy of respect. This son of Excellent Art cost 22,000euro. Palmer has a small string of juveniles - his first season as a trainer - but has proved himself to be a talented handler. It is never easy to assess the potential of any horse making its race course bow, especially on a turning track where experience is significant. However, the one major positive to this colt's chance is the booking of Michael Hills. What catches my eye is that fact this is his only ride on the card. Hills doesn't waste his time and for that reason alone Incendiary is of interest.

Of the others, Cone Donkey would have strong place claims if substantially backed although that looks unlikely. 

Conclusion: A poor race. I couldn't back Rockme Cockney after her last two races, which is a shame because at best she would have taken all the beating. She looks to have regressed and could well disappoint once more. Inowy is limited but a speedy sort who will have many of these struggling from the start. She will be fighting her corner but may be vulnerable to a late charge. A fair each way selection. Incendiary could go well. The fact this is Michael Hills sole ride on the card could well be a significant pointer. It certainly caught my eye because he doesn't waste his time. Backing debutantes can feel like hard work because there is a thin line between success and failure, especially on a turning track where experience counts for a lot. A slow start would be a major obstacle.  However, this son of Excellent Art could run a big race.


HCE: ''A poor race as suggested. The favourite, Incendiary, was backed but couldn't get competitive. Compton Ashdown was one of the better looking in this field and Hans Adielsson has hit something of a purple patch with his juveniles. After going on, Compton Ashdown looked to idle and gave the determined Cone Donkey a second chance but held on. Seattle Sounder was backed at the off and finished third. A lowly race where most look limited.''

Full result (click)

Other races:
12:40 Southwell
1:40 Southwell
6:00 Wolverhampton
6:30 Wolverhampton