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Sunday, 9 October 2011

3:40 Goodwood (9th October) Horse Racing Tips/Result

A Median Maiden Auction Stakes over 6f on good ground.

Quite a competitive race with many a horse open to improvement.

Jay Bee Blue sets a fair standard after finishing second on his last two starts. He is a determined juvenile with size and scope but a slugger rather than a pacey type. Dascombe's two-year-olds are always worthy of respect and he has a chance of hitting the frame although there may be a couple better.

Kieren Fallon has a fair strike rate when riding Evans' two-year-olds (mainly wins on Aquasulis) and Forest Edge seems to have progressed of late. He may have bumped into a fair type at Chepstow. He ran well when dropped back to 6f finishing second at Ascot when not best drawn. To some extent, it is difficult to appreciate what he has achieved although he is a battler which is a positive. An interesting candidate.

Richard Hannon has a superb strike rate at Goodwood and should be feared. Impel was well backed at this course on debut but over 7f. This son of Excellent Art is a good-looking juvenile and even though he showed next to no ability on soft ground I would expect a much better showing today. If looks are anything to go by, there is more to come. If backed, it would bring additional confidence.

Cristal Gem hails from the same stable and hasn't been seen since May. This filly was sent off favourite in a small field at Lingfield but was very inexperienced to a point Buick struggled to ride her to the line. The form of that race is only fair but there could be improvement. Being off course for such a period of time, this juvenile may have progressed or regressed and reason why I would take a watching brief.

Of the others, Generalyse showed good pace at huge odds when making his second start at Newbury behind the exciting Mince. De Haan is not known for his training exploits of two-year-olds but that was a promising effort. It could well be the case he made the most of that initial experience and may struggle today when push comes to shove but could sit handy for a long way.

Diamond Belle ran a fair race last time. However, the form of that race may be moderate and although one of the more proven runners others make more appeal.   

Sandfrankskipsgo is a handsome colt. A big brute. I was impressed by his stature when racing at Sandown over 5f. He didn't finish his race after showing good pace and different tactics may be needed over this extra furlong. Johnson's youngster may be on the weak side but should win races in time.

All Nighter is worth a mention. He hasn't been seen for a long time but showed very good speed on debut before fading in the final furlong. Meehan's gelding wasn't best drawn at Newmarket where he similarly faded at the finish. It is possible this son of Bertolini has strengthened up and he could be a surprise package if able to run to the line.

Conclusion: A race of ifs, buts and maybe for many of these two-year-olds. Jay Bee Blue probably sets the standard as far as proven form but may be vulnerable. Forest Edge is a determined sort who has place claims. Impel is a good-looking juvenile. It is difficult to find much sparkle from such a poor debut effort but I get a feeling he is capable of much better. The betting suggested a big run was expected that day and I would give this colt a second chance. A tentative each way selection. All Nighter could go well if backed. A tricky race.

HCE: ''A difficult race to find the winner - which came in the shape of Fillionaire at 40/1. Mick Channon's juvenile was forgotten in the betting but won quite easily. Opera Flute made good headway in the closing stages to take second a couple of lengths clear of Impel who was ease in the final 100y.''