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Tuesday, 6 September 2011

3:40 Lingfield (6th September) - Result

A restricted Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 6f on good to firm ground.

This looks a two-horse race.

Sir Fredlot has proven ability and by all accounts dropped in class. The form of his debut at Salisbury has been franked numerous times and he was beaten by a talented juvenile in Amazing Storm, who powered home at Windsor. Peter Winkworth has done well with his two-year-olds this season and this likable gelding will be winning this term. The only concern is the wide draw. With experience on side, it shouldn't be a huge negative although with a field of debutantes any interference or being away from the pace in the early stages would be a concern. At relatively short odds I would rather take a watching brief.A juvenile who should take the beating.

Princess Of Orange is an attractive filly with plenty of size and scope. In truth, we haven't had an opportunity to see what she can achieve. Running wide on the final bend at Lingfield, crushed any hope of winning, while a poor draw didn't help on debut. I get the feeling this daughter of Dutch Art is held in quite high regard by connections. Perhaps it will be her turn to have some luck. A high draw could well be a good omen and perhaps the difference between winning and losing. Bar the two favourites, this looks a weak race and the debutantes will need to be pretty smart to cause an upset.

Of the debutantes Gabriel's Lad is quite fancied. Dennis Coakley is a trainer worthy of note as his two-year-olds often run big races on their racecourse bow, often at fancy prices. Clearly, the cat is out of the bag on this son of Dark Angel. It would take a superb effort to win against talented opposition and for that reason I would have to take a watching brief.

Conclusion: I wouldn't look beyond the two favourites. Sir Fredlot has proven form and must go close. The draw is a concern and it is crucial Winkworth's charge gets in a handy position, running with the pace. With experience, this should be possible. At the price, I would take a watching brief. Princess Of Orange is still unproven to some extent. However, she ran on in determined style at Lingfield and could be a talented juvenile. She is a big, strong filly and if drifting to an each way price (unlikely) would be a superb bet.

HCE: 'A sparkling performance by Princess Of Orange who sauntered clear. Gabriel's Lad was well backed considering the two major fancies in opposition and ran well. I have to wonder whether Sir Fredlot disappointed to some extent or if the wide draw tainted his finish.'

Full result (click)    

Other races:
2:00 Leicester
2:10 Lingfield
2:30 Leicester
4:10 Lingfield
4:30 Leicester
4:40 Lingfield
5:00 Leicester