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Friday, 16 September 2011

2:10 Ayr (16th September) - Result

An EBF Maiden Stakes for colts and fillies over 7f 50y on good to soft ground.

A few juveniles with proven form making this an interesting contest.

Strictly Silver has run well on his last two starts: looking a touch outpaced at Warwick over 7f and then struggling to last home at 1m when tiring in the closing stages at Kempton. Bailey holds this juvenile in some regard and this flashy grey colt has fair place claims.

Trail Blaze is a good-looking colt. He travelled well at Thirsk over 1m on soft ground but struggled over the last 100m. This drop back in distance will suit and he is likely to set the pace. With proven form on testing conditions, this son of Tagula has fair win and place claims.

Magic Destiny should enjoy this step up in distance after struggling, a touch, to go the pace at Haydock over 6f. The winner, Gusto, is a talented juvenile and by all accounts that was a decent maiden. Burke is a canny trainer and if improving a length or two for this trip, would be a leading each way chance at respectable odds.

Conclusion: Quite a competitive race and a few with a fighting chance. Trail Blaze is a handsome colt who always looks in superb condition. He is likely to set the pace and could take some pegging back if gaining an easy lead. Strictly Silver is a determined character. Bailey has his horses in good form. This colt should finish with some purpose although it would be a concern if slightly outpaced as seen at Warwick over the this distance. Magic Destiny is not the easiest to assess. She wasn't ideally suited by the 6f at Haydock and this step up in distance should be a plus. That was a decent maiden and I would expect better today. All three noted have fair each way claims.

HCE: 'Strictly Silver was settled off the pace and ran on well to beat the pace making Trail Blaze. Serene Oasis managed to catch the gritty Magic Destiny who looked to have a chance of winning but tired close home.'