Friday, 9 September 2011

2:00 Chester (9th September)

An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f 122y on good ground.

Sholaan is likely to improve a good deal for his debut at Kempton. This bay colt by Invincible Spirit ran on with purpose and wasn't pressed when a creditable second and will enjoy this ground as he has quite a pronounce knee action. A fair win and place chance.

Hyperlink is likely to set the pace after showing similar tactics at Chepstow last time. The form of that race looks fair and he could well be a good bet to lay considering the major fancies will probably be held up.

McVicar has been running well in nursery races and comes back to try his luck in a maiden. On balance, he doesn't look to have the class. The major concern is the course. He is a rather awkward character who doesn't enjoy running with horses and the emphasis of this speedy track will not suit. I would be very surprised if he wasn't out paced and much bigger odds in-running. There is a chance he will run on in the closing stages. However, he is likely to have far too much ground to make up.

Sir Trevor wasn't fancied in the betting on debut but ran on with some encouragement. Money talks with the Dascombe stable and if strongly backed has claims.

Conclusion: Sholaan would be a good win and place bet if there were three places on offer. With two places, there isn't much room for manoeuvre but a fair sort who should run a big race.

HCE: Probably a poor race. McVicar proved my concerns all wrong and rallied well to take his first win. Hyperlink led but couldn't hold out. Sir Trevor finished third. A moderate affair.'