Wednesday, 31 August 2011

3:30 Bath (31st August) - Result

 Very Floral
A very restricted Maiden Auction Stakes over 5f 161y on good ground.

Dutch Rose is on a recovery mission after disappointing in a competitive maiden at Salisbury on her second start. This daughter of Dutch Art showed promise on debut when second string of Ralph Beckett's juveniles, in which he sent out the winner. By all accounts she was held in high regard, sent off favourite last time, but running no race and almost falling when clipping heels in the latter stages. A once entrant for the Lowther (Group 2), she has been absent for a few weeks and something must have been amiss that day. This is a very restricted race in which she has a lowly weight. It is always a concern that she will falter today but if retaining any of that debut promise she should win.

Of the opposition, Royal Reyah is an attractive juvenile. This son of Royal Applause certainly showed promise on debut at Salisbury. He looked inexperience and was soon shuffled back, looking out of contention, but ran on with enthusiasm, given an easy introduction. If things had gone better he would have most likely won on his first start. Stuart Kittow is a talented trainer and his juveniles often run well when fancied on their second start. Although the form of that Salisbury race is moderate this colt gave the impression he would progress with racing. A fair sort for this grade.

Blackburn was relatively fancied on debut in what has turned out to be a hot race. Cox does well with his juveniles at Bath and if priced 13/2 & less has win and place claims. From a statistical point of view this gelding has claims but he would need to improve markedly on what was seen on debut. Ridden as though fit and ready - given a good few cracks of the whip - he was always struggling after a tardy start. This will be a much easier race to win but I would have to take a watching brief because that run didn't give much encouragement.

Night Angel has run a number of times and placed on a few occasions. She went close last time in a nursery, which may have simply turned out to be a poor race. At her best this grey filly would have claims but she looks to have regressed from a capable juvenile. 

Conclusion: A very restricted race which should limit those yet to race. Proven form is often the key to winning at this level. Dutch Rose could be the class horse of the race but needs to prove that last run was all wrong. You have to forgive that disappointment and that always bring slight concerns. On balance, she deserves another chance and at an each way price will never have a better opportunity if the talent remains. Royal Rehay has fair win and place claims but has been off course a good while. That was a moderate race he run on debut but he showed promise and would have benefited greatly for that experience. A juvenile which should be primed for a big run and progressing.

HCE: ''Not much of a race and probably best to be careful with those placed juveniles. Royal Reyah won a shade cosily and about the only horse in this field capable of progressing. Night Angel is limited but ran her race in second. Royal Trix travelled with supreme ease but flattened out in the closing stages. Tregoning's two-year-old may be suited by 5f although this was a moderate affair, which tempers enthusiasm. Dutch Rose has clearly regressed. At best, on this lowly weight, she should have won. A juvenile which is worth opposing in future.''