Friday, 6 May 2011

7:00 Ascot (6th May) - Result

A maiden fillies' stakes over 5f with prize money of £6,476.

Three fillies have racecourse experience and a handful of debutantes from fashionable stables.

Guru Girl ran well on debut at Newmarket, an outsiders priced 25/1. That form is just fair. Burke's two-year-olds often improve for the run. Although a relatively cheap filly, she has size and scope to progress. Andrew Elliott gave this daughter of Ishiguru a considerate ride on debut and there should be more to come today. It is interesting that connections have chosen two grade one courses so far and Guru Girl has sound each way claims.

On a form line with Dark Ages it would seem Reina Sophia is held by Guru Girl.

Karuga - trained by Richard Hannon - is quite an interesting sort. She ran in a competitive maiden at Folkestone on debut behind Gatepost, who is probably heading for Royal Ascot. The third home, Choice Of Remark, has an element of ability/pace and this daughter of Kyllachy showed excellent speed for well into the final furlong. In fact, Moore ease down quite considerably when her chance had gone. If tiring was due to a lack of fitness, Karuga could go well. Quite a small, compact type, she looks a speedster.

Of the debutantes, Starfly & Represent make most appeal.

Starfly hails from Jeremy Noseda's stable which has trained a two-year-old winner this season. A 56,000gns purchase by Highclere Thoroughbreds, she is a half-sister to a Listed race winner in France. Noseda has fair win and place claims with his fancied debutantes although his strike rate at Ascot over the last few seasons has been relatively poor. In contrast, William Buick has a good strike rate when riding for the stable. As with most two-year-olds on debut, it is never easy to win especially against experienced opposition. She has fair claims although I would rather take a watching brief.

Similar comments can be made for Represent who is owned by Insignia Racing. They look to have a decent juvenile in the shape of Signifer who won at Bath earlier this week. Channon has fair win and place claims with his fancied juveniles on debut. This bay filly is fancied on the exchanges at this time but a weakness would not be encouraging. The stable have very few juveniles win on debut piced over 7/1.

Another to note in the betting may be Toffee Tart. John Hills infrequently has a decent juvenile. However, this season he seems to have struck gold with his early juveniles, two winning in some style. A very cheap buy on paper, this daughter of Dutch Art doesn't look a world beater. Hills has a poor win rate on debut but after such a good start to the sason should be respected. The betting is the key to this bays chances. With a couple of talents at home, the stable should have an idea where this youngsters stands in the pecking order. If strongly fancied in the betting a big run could be on the cards. If weak, the converse may be true.

Conclusion: Guru Girl has fair each way claims with experience on side. Karuga is likely to show plenty of pace and if in need of the run at Folkestone could go well. Starfly & Represent have a fighting chance although it may be best to take a watching brief. Money for Toffee Tart would be encouraging although it would seem unlikely in ways.

HCE: ''An exciting race with just about a four-way photo finish. Guru Girl - a good looker - was making the most of her experience and just about held on to win although she was a shade lucky wandering to her left which hampered the dash made by Represent (3rd). John Hills continues his Midas touch with Toffee Tart flying at the death with My Lucky Liz, who was eager to play a part in the photo. An exciting race and the first four have ability.''

Full result (click)

Other races:
1:55 Nottingham
Full result (click)
2:05 Lingfield
Fult result (click)
5:40 Ripon
Full result (click)

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