Monday, 2 May 2011

2:20 Beverley (2nd May) - Result

A median auction maiden stakes over 5f.

The betting on the exchanges suggests this is an open race.

Not too much form to go on with Bertie Dancing showing little here on debut and subsequently entered for a selling race which doesn't bring much appeal.

Superplex is relatively fancied on the exchanges after finishing a well beaten 5th at Pontefract behind Sweet Chillie. It is interesting to note Hanagan is riding, so perhaps more is expected. The betting will be key to the chances of this son of Multiplex. If strongly fancied, it could bode well although he needs to improve on that initial effort.

Becksies  - trained by Paul Midgley - finished 2nd in a selling race on debut and more may be needed in this race which should by grade be a slightly stronger.

The debutantes may be the leading lights.

Bryan Smart is a talented trainer of two-year-olds. Many of his youngsters are fancied on debut and Master Bond is likely to be supported. A home bred, by Misu Bonb, and related to sprint winners are all pointers. Smart can win on debut but his juveniles often improve for the run. Trainer statistics suggest that second time out is the time to back his two-year-olds. I would rather watch and learn a little more today.

Mark Johnston has a good strike rate with his juveniles at Beverley and Cravat has a couple of entries which bring encouragement. This bay colt has been entered to run in a stakes race and engaged to run at Goodwood. A very talented trainer, he often brings out his better juveniles at the start of May. The downside with Johnston's early juveniles is that many are not out and out sprinters. The breeding of this son of Dubai Destination suggests he may appreciate further. Whether he has the speed to win over 5f is a matter for debate. His debutantes seem to fall into two categories: effortless winner or struggling from the start. I would rather watch all of Johnston's two-year-olds on debut than back them. However, he has a good strike rate at the course, which gives him slightly more appeal.

John Fretwell does well with his juveniles and David Brown is a canny trainer. This partnership was seen to good effect with Easy Ticket who was a capable sort & Tight Lipped should be respected. This combination are likely to have their juveniles fit and ready. If well backed a big race should be expected. However, the betting will dictates the hopes of this son of Dark Angel, a 17,000gns purchase. If priced 13/2 & less this youngster has fair win and place claims.

Tom Dascombe has done well with his two-year-olds this season. The stable must feel quite upbeat compared with last year's dip in standards. Few stables are as price orientated as Dascombe's. He has the odd freak debutante winner at bigger odds but generally the price is king. They know their juveniles very well. If Basantee is priced 7/1 & less expect a big run. If she takes after he half-brother Gentle Lord, she will go very well today. The betting will be the best indicator to this filly's running.

An outsider worth a second look is Maria Medecis. Ann Duffield doesn't have the best strike rate on debut. However, she can win with her more talented juveniles. This filly is quite a cheap purchase but there are a few factors which bring some hope to this ones chances. Over the last few seasons Duffield has sent a number of talented juveniles to run at Beverley (many going well on debut) and Philip Makin has a very good strike rate for the stable. He rides work for the yard so it is probably the case he has partnered this filly and knows he well.

Conclusion: A tricky race in many way with quite a few trainers rather hit and miss on debut. Bryan Smart and Mark Johnston can be unpredictable, especially the latter. The betting is key for Basantee and Tight Lipped. Superplex could run much better today if well backed but a difficult horse to fancy on form. Maria Medecis may go well at speculative odds.

HCE: ''It is funny how each year and the turning of May that Johnston steps up a gear with his two-year-olds. Cravat was always at the head of the field and looked professional from start to finish. His trainer continues his healthy strike rate at the course. Superplex, 2nd, was very well backed considering he had shown little on debut. Connections must have been disappointed with that debut effort and came here with some confidence if money is anything to go by. Quinn's youngster battle to the line. In what was probably no more than an average race, Tight Lipped ran on to take third.''