Friday, 29 April 2011

3:50 Leicester (29th April) - Result

A EBF fillies' maiden.

Another small field.

John Gosden is setting records this year having two-year-old runners in April. It's nothing extraordinary - but interesting in its own way. His first runner, Vinnie Jones, was outpaced on debut. However, physically he is an attractive juvenile. Today Gosden has two runners. Fanoos is fancied in the betting. This filly is likely to be a looker as she cost a whopping 120,000gns. Money talks. This daughter of Dutch Art is out of Miss Otis, a filly I remember well trained by Peter Winkworth. Gosden has a fair win and place rate with his debutantes. Clearly, debutantes are a law unto themselves. However, this filly owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum has already been given a stakes race entry, which adds to her potential. At restrictive odds there is little to gain betting today. Potentially a talented juvenile.

Pyman's Theory was substantially backed on debut. Quite a nice-looking filly by Exceed And Excel, Dascombe/connections must have been surprised they didn't win on debut. They are a very good judge of their two-year-olds. The betting spoke volumes. However, they lost. It happens. Reviewing the race, with the first three clear of the field, it looked a fair performance. But Always Ends Well being beaten, yesterday, at Brighton brings slight issues about the form. On the one side, the money for Dascombe's juvenile on debut suggests this two-year-old has ability. Today we will learn a little more. I get the feeling Pyman's Theory has ability.

Another juvenile with form is Dark Ages. Quinlan's filly was quite well backed on debut and looked fit and ready to run. It is difficult to assess the form of that race although Marie's Fantasy being beaten with ease at Yarmouth - a truly restricted race that was probably on a par with plating class - brings a few doubts. Miss Banu won at Newmarket with Dark Ages a few lengths back. Channon's victor is very small. She was beaten on debut and it just might be the case the race wasn't as strong as many imagined. Quinlan has fair win and place claims with his juveniles on their second start. Today's running will answer a few questions and for that reason it is a watching brief.

Reina Sophia ran in a restricted race on debut and needs to improve to figure here.

Alan McCabe has done well with his juveniles this season and Unforgiving - a cheap purchase - may go well at a price. The main reason for that opinion is the booking of Seb Sanders who has a very good strike rate with the stable. The negative is that McCabe has a poor win rate with his debutantes. On balance, this daughter of Red Clubs may struggle but a interesting candidate in ways.

A difficult race to assess with the major fancies at so so prices. Fanoos is the prospect horse in this race. Pyman's Theory is probably the best value with place claims.

HCE: ''Pyman's Theory won this in fair style. Backed late on she moved in comfortable fashion. Dark Ages led for most but never posed a threat to the five-length winner. The third, Reina Sophia, ran a similar race on debut. Fanoos was very well backed for most of the day but drifted in the build up to the race only to be backed once more. An attractive horse, she was always on the back foot, struggling to go the pace. Whether Gosden's juvenile needed the run only time will tell. However, it is probably the case she needs 6f. Fancied debutantes seem to come in two forms: easy winners or easy losers. It is rarely straightforward - that first race. There may be better to come.''