6:45 Musselburgh (1st August) WILKINSON & ASSOCIATES NURSERY HANDICAP (CLASS 6)

A 0-65 rated handicap. Eight two-year-olds racing over 5f on good to firm ground. By all accounts an average race. One horse makes appeal as a potential in-running lay bet, perhaps at big odds-on. 

On Appro has run five times, placed third on one occasion. Tim Easterby's bay daughter of Approve races in the familiar silks of Habton Farms. Make no mistake this filly is fast over four furlongs. In fact, she would have gone close to winning on a few occasions if such a distance was available in this country. This bay showed such pace last start when contesting a claiming race at Catterick over the minimum trip. Drifting hugely on the exchanges just before the off, touching about 40/1, before something of a late punt. Those backers were probably aware she would hit the front and have the opposition struggling to keep tabs. That is, until the final furlong, where she tired dramatically in the closing stages. 

There is a fair chance those race tactic will be employed at Musselburgh and touch short odds in-running. I would be tempted to lay this horse in-running at 1.5 (1/2on) if not much shorter. If this doesn't go to plan then you have nothing to lose but if tearing off in front then the bet could easily be laid. There is always the chance the horse could win although I feel that is unlikely. However, if laid in running at huge odds on there is little to be lost. Certainly worth an interest which could return a potentially big win.


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