2:10 Warwick (9th April) Free Racing Tips

A Selling Stakes over 5f on good ground. Seven runners, five raced, one winner. Bill Turner's juveniles have been in fine form. Severn Bore drifted quite markedly in the betting when making his debut at Redcar, most likely with regard to his trainer's pessimism, with the Dorset handler suggesting little was expected. However, this son of Tiger Hill ran a fine race and held the late charge of today's rival Sulvez L'Argent by just under one length.

The Joseph-Tuite trained Sulvez L'Argent ran well on debut and may revise placings today. This daughter of Pastoral Pursuits wasn't best away from the stalls and then struggled to go the pace a good few lengths adrift at half way. However, this bay filly rallied in the closing stages, responding well to a couple of taps administered by Julie Burke, in a fashion which suggested there was better to come. On breeding Tuite's youngster would appreciate a stiffer test of stamina. With Warwick being such a speed course, there is a concern she will be outpaced again. On balance, she has a fighting chance against her old adversary. 


Relay - trained by Richard Hannon - makes a quick reappearance after showing little in two races. This drop in class is a positive but further improvement is needed. 

The David Evan's raced pair look limited and it could well be telling Cathy Gannon takes the ride on John Spearing's Black Eider. Saying that, the trainer has a terrible strike rate with his debut and this cheap buy is best watched.

Silicon Valley has breeding to suggest a great test of stamina is needed.

Conclusion: Severn Bore looks a straightforward horse which counts for a lot at this level. The form of this last race has been franked by the success of Vanessa, winning on Sunday. Turner is in good form and I can see Egan trying to steal an easy lead. Sulvez L'Argent is the danger and could quite easily be the victor if progressing from that first start. However, it will be intriguing to see whether this race is a carbon copy of their previous encounter. Outpaced that day, his filly may have learned from that valuable experience. If betting, I would be tempted to back in-running because much greater odds may be available if struggling to go the pace. Expect her to finish with enthusiasm & give Severn Bore a fight to the line. Relay has been dropped in class but doesn't seem to be progressing. She showed good speed at Kempton but a difficult horse to assess.




5 comments:

Neil said...

Morning Jason.
Having a nice bank holiday?
Off to Yarmouth today? Weather a bit grim here

HCE said...

Hi Neil,

Good to hear from you. I love going to Yarmouth...a track which holds so many memories. Hope the weather clears up for you. I'm having a good but quiet bank holiday. If things had worked out different I could have been at the races. The first race is a big field of maidens. If Fanshawe's Abbraccio was backed to 13/2 SP & less I would expect a fair ew bet, although it looks a little outside that price range at the moment. I will be watching on tv. Please, no streaking... :-) Have a lovely (winning)day.

C.L.T.R.S said...

Yeah i like the look of Abbraccio and was one i picked out last night , have a good day mate, Monday smiles en route ;-)

HCE said...

Slightly kicking myself for not say Falcon In Flight (would have done if I had noticed Fanshawe's was a non runner). It was well regarded as a 2yo being entered for the Lowther Stakes (Group 2) & Fillies' Mile (Group 1)so clearly respected. Hope you had a good day, Neil.

HCE said...

Slightly kicking myself for not say Falcon In Flight (would have done if I had noticed Fanshawe's was a non runner). It was well regarded as a 2yo being entered for the Lowther Stakes (Group 2) & Fillies' Mile (Group 1)so clearly respected. Hope you had a good day, Neil.