The Real Dark Horses (No, Darker Than That!)

HCE is big on two-year-old data. Knowledge is power - make no mistake. In fact early race declarations are so important to our understanding, we keep an archive of every entry just for reference. If you want to at least attempt to understand a trainer's thoughts (or jockey) then they are a great primary source of data - gleaning sometimes quite astonishing insight.


You may recall how I often note juveniles which have been entered at plating class. These juveniles are likely to have limited ability. On a number of occasions I have seen such horses starting at favourite for a maiden race. They have little chance of winning. They are favourite simply because people didn't take note they were entered at plating grade. They were forgotten. Overlooked. Call it what you may.


The same can be said of juveniles who have been entered to run at stakes, listed or even group class. The sole difference here is that these juveniles carry the hopes of being our equine stars of the future. Again, many don't take those engagements. That knowledge forgotten. That chance to gaining an edge - missed!


Considering we had the largest group-entered juvenile study in the world (published in the Weekend many years ago) we appreciate the worth of such data. We make it our job to remember - to understand. Our research tells us a high percentage of juveniles entered to run at stakes class - let alone racing at that level - go on to win in their two-year-old career. Take note of every piece of free information. It is too easy to simply disregard those gems of wisdom which note a trainer's thoughts.


Here is a list of recent lofty entrants - all yet to race - which are likely to have ability.


Peter Chapple-Hyam
Dick Bos


Tom Dascombe
Electric Qatar


Brian Ellison
Rano Pano


Richard Hannon
Mr Knightly


Howard Johnson
Twin Ivan


Brian Meehan
Shumoos
Hidden Passion


Dandy Nicholls
Prince Gabrial


David O'Meara
Tip Top Gorgeous


Tom Tate
Parc De Launay

2 comments:

Neil said...

Good result for Parc de Launay today. Unfortunately I wasn't on though :-(

HCE said...

Hi Neil,

Yes, I saw it running but it was a little too short price for me but ran out a decent winner. A nice looking type. He looked inexperience but certainly has a touch of ability.