Thursday, 17 March 2011

All Out To Win

Roy needs some luck
Sorry for the late post - been one of those days. But back and ready to tell you all about Roy's selections. This what he has to say:

Cheltenham Update:

The last two days have been brutal with me dropping £3650 almost half my bank, I always go in heavy at the festival and have done well by it in the past but clearly I have made some serious errors of judgement so far this year. What was particularly frustrating were the two poor runs tonight at Kempton. However i'm not one for hard luck stories and i'm far from done yet, may take a break tomorrow as I've had thorough look through the cards and nothing stands out yet.

15:45 Towcester Gifted leader £400 win 7/1

Has shown signs of ability and has raced in much better company then he meets today, Not as bad a bare result suggested lto travelled well and given easy time on run in when jockey recognised he was beaten. Was outclassed two starts prior to that over 2m1 and 2m3. Ran well and finished one paced over 2 miles to finish 2nd at Haydock last Nov finding one too good in the persistent Rio Gael. Does finish one paced so today’s race could be well suited as I predict there will be a distinct lack of pace throughout, with the exception of l’eldorado who I expect to make all, L’eldorado won lto over 2m1 at Market Rasen, that was against very weak opposition (was unchallenged virtually the whole way) on a track suited too his running style. I think he need further then today’s trip and will get found out by the selection on the run in.

Kadoushki is not the horse he once was, only just held on in a very weak affair at Sandown lto so one to oppose for me, Can’t see anything else getting involved, and the trip, pace and circuit all look to be in the selections favour today.

18:15 Wolves Midnight Strider £250 10/1

Don’t normally get involved in these races but I can’t ignore the fact this one is 10/1.

Not straightforward by any means put does respond well when asked. Goes well round here won twice and placed twice in six starts two wins have come over today’s trip. Has looked a little awkward in bigger fields previously and will appreciate the smaller field here. His best runs have been when he gets the rail early, which today’s inside draw should help him achieve. Can forgive last two starts as he was ridden the wrong way,(held up instead of racing prominently and preferably needs to be covered up.) Dubai Miracle will have his supporters but has looked ungenuine and for me is better over shorter. Erinjay rate’s the main danger, but may prefer the pace a little stronger then he gets today.


Anonymous said...

i hate to kick a man when he is down . but roy has brought most of the loses on himself with his massive one should bet almost 20% of their original betting bank in one day, let alone a reduced betting bank. roy has had some bad luck and cheltenham is a difficult place to pick winners but staking is a issue that roy needs to resolve or he is guaranteed to fail.all the best .

Neil said...

I have to agree with Anonymous - the percentage staked is completely out of whack. He seems to argue the case well for each beast so is clearly knowledgeable, but these losing runs only bear out the requirement for a sizable bank.

I would also have to question the inclusion of every post in this blog. Sure it is of interest due to the amount staked, but if people still want to follow his blog they would subscribe to it - I don't really want to see it here unless you are endorsing the selections.

HCE said...

Hi Neil,

It is good to hear your views on this subject. I am pleased to say that from the 2nd April HCE will solely detail 2yo racing on this blog. it is difficult to know what content readers want outside the 2yo season. I try to find interesting articles, blog posts and 2yo statistical insight but it is a balancing act. I would rather readers say what they like or dislike as it helps me understand the direction the blog should go. To be fair Roy's blog posts are enjoyed by many readers. Also, I detail these blogs to publicise their efforts and bring more readers there way. If other readers feel the same then I will not highlight these bets in future. My intention isn't to endorse these bets but plug the blog and I apologise if I have given any other impression. With the new Flat/turf season almost here, we don't have to wait too much longer.