2:30 Kempton (26th March) - Update

The first 2yo race of the season, over this turning  5f. It would be interesting to consider whether a few of these were considered for the Brocklesby on 2nd April? It is possible one or two may take that option after today.

Cathy Gannon was booked to ride all of Evans' juveniles at the early declaration stage and for that reason Seven Year Itch* is probably the best of his runners and certainly one of the more likelier types. However, Evans doesn't feature the best win rate with his debutantes and a race I will be watching rather than wagering.

Snowed In is already a gelding, and drawn on the extreme outside is a big negative. Moore commented on this youngster saying: ''Today sees our first 2nd old runner at Kempton - Snowed In. He is a straight forward little horse, does his job well and will run a nice race.'' Moore doesn't feature a very good strike rate on debut and unless very forward will struggle from his low draw.

A 2yo trainer worth noting is Mick Channon - with a huge string he is guaranteed to have a number of talented juveniles. His juveniles are very unlikely to win on debut if priced over 8/1, so the market is important. However, he does feature fair statistics with juveniles priced 13/2 & less  Lilygloves is owned by Channon and is one of the more interesting juveniles although she is probably but best watched today.

Bubbly Ballerina could be of interest - but only if strongly fancied in the betting. Alan Bailey's horses have been in good form of late and he can get one ready for its debut. The key to this chestnut fillies chances relate to her starting price. If fancied in the betting, she has place claims. One to keep an eye on but a drift in the betting wouldn't inspire confidence.

Bill Turner's He's So Cool is the most interesting runner. It would be a huge positive if Turner considered this for the Brocklesby because he generally sends his best 2yo to Doncaster. Owner, E A Brook has had a few talented juveniles in his time and won the Brocklesby with Sally's Dilemma on debut in 2008. Being a colt, and born in January, are both positives against a field of mostly fillies. Turner is likely to have this son One Cool Cat fit and ready and from a high draw could take advantage of this turning course. A good, professional performance will make a huge difference as many of these will struggle with the bend.

Very much a watching race.

* NR

Full result (click)

Summary: It will be interesting to see if the late non runner, Seven Year Itch, has any ability as it seems rather strange that Lee Vickers was booked to ride Redair, but was replaced by Gannon at the off. Intriguing. Bailey's Bubbly Ballerina was sharp and knew her job - but this was a two-horse race after a couple of furlongs.

2 comments:

Mark said...

Hi Jason

Great fresh new look to the blog.

I enjoyed your write up(where do you find all of the details from?) and will be following with extreme interest from now on.

Regards
Mark

HCE said...

Hi Mark,

I use the Racing Post for general information but HCE has its own data from many year's of research. At the end of each season we analyse every trainer to learn of their strengths and weakness, which gives us unique data. That is why we find - highlight to our readers - angles that are unique to HCE and 2yo racing. This gives a fuller picture of any given race, which is unlikely to be found elsewhere.

We pride ourseleves on finding those little pieces of information, which make the difference between a good and bad bet.

Regards,
Jason