Showing newest 19 of 36 posts from July 2009. Show older posts
Showing newest 19 of 36 posts from July 2009. Show older posts

Friday, 31 July 2009

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Thursday, 30 July 2009

5:55 Newmarket (31st July)

An intriguing maiden over 6f for colts and fillies on good to soft ground.

Taajub sets a fair standard for an ordinary maiden and this two-year-old will take some beating. Haggis has a number of talented juveniles in his care and this colt by Exceed And Excel has a number of Group entries and with experience on side will be a tough nut to crack.

Arabian Pride is certainly worth a look even against the Haggis runner and is a consistent type. To be fair he hasn't run a bad race and has a winning level of ability but been unfortunate to find a number of strong races. This juvenile is clearly held in some regard by Simcock and this two-year-old could well be a fair each way alternative if price allows.

Of the unraced New Christmas is worth a mention. Meehan has a string of talented two-year-olds and this colt by Smoke Glacken has been given a number of Group entries and should be noted if not today for the future. Although he does have a few winners on debut, generally Meehan is much better on his second start. Probably best watched today.

Even though James Toller's juvenile Pirate's Song has been declared a non runner I would keep an eye open for this runner as I get the feeling he has ability and could potentially be a horse with a big price and a chance.

A few interested juveniles noted here and all have the potential to achieve a level of ability. Taajub will take some beating but Arabian Pride is no slouch. Simcock's runner may be the bet at an each way price. New Christmas has it to prove on debut but has the look of a progressive juvenile as that is how his trainer generally trains his juveniles.



A watching race.

Race Review: 'Taajub ran out a fair winner and can progress from here. Arabian Pride was very well backed, mainly due to the weakness in Meehan's juvenile, and tried to test the favourite but couldn't hold the Haggis juvenile at bay.'

Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487287&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes

Other races:
4:00 Goodwood
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487277&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes
4:35 Goodwood
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487278&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes
6:05 Bath
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487270&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes
7:00 Newmarket
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487289&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes
7:20 Haydock
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487283&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes

6:45 Haydock (31st July)

A restricted auction race over 6f and one potentially interesting runner.

Paul Cole has unleashed a number of talented juveniles in the last few days and Search For The Key is a very interesting runner here. This colt by El Corredor has been given a string of Group entries and recent Stake event which indicate this two-year-old has potential and may even be one of the better juveniles in the stable. This race will not take a much winning and it would be no surprise to see this runner backed. An intriguing sort and definitely one to keep an eye on.

A watching race.

Race review: 'Probably no more than an average race and a nice win for Petougg trained by William Jarvis. Regardless showed her level of ability and took second and the disappointing Search For The Key never seemed to be going and needs to have a transformation if his Group entries are to be believed. A poor showing to say the least.'


Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487282&r_date=2009-07-31&popup=yes

5:10 Goodwood (30th July)

Decent prize money for this fillies' maiden over 7f.

A high draw and experience is a good starting point as being forced to run wide round the bend makes life very difficult here.

Water Biscuit has run well on both starts and a narrow loser on each occasion. This bay filly by Bertolini clearly has ability and will be many people's ideas of a good bet. Certainly one of the most consistent in the field, she will travel well and from a high draw should hold a favourable position. The step up to 7f is a slight unknown as Meehan's juvenile doesn't lack for speed over 6f and it will be interesting to see if this extra furlong helps or hinders her cause.

Laureldean Spirit was quite well backed on debut and ran a great race. Fahey often sends his better juveniles to the York and she looked to hold a winning advantage leading into the final furlong only to tire in the closing stages. This brown filly by Whipper is quite lightly built and could improve with time. I can see this two-year-old running well here. The form of the race has been boosted with the fourth running an encouraging race at Newcastle. The plus side with Laureldean Spirit is that she has run at 7f and can be guaranteed to get the distance.

Ghazwah finished a good few lengths behind Water Biscuit over 6f on debut and although likely to improve needs to. A lovely, strong filly she isn't without a hope if needing the run that day although being relatively short in the betting would suggest she was fitter than not. This extra furlong will be a positive too. On balance I would rather watch and learn a little more about her today.

Of the unraced Pink Symphony catches the eye. With Group entries and a price tag of 400,000gns it doesn't take too much working out that this filly has potential to be a talent. The betting will indicate this ones chances as Cole has a poor strike rate on debut with juveniles priced over 8/1. If relatively short in the betting a big run can be expected although not ideally drawn and inexperience on a turning track will make this a stiff task. It would be a very good effort to win this on debut and I wouldn't fancy betting on this two-year-old.

In a big field with many well bred juveniles making their debut and healthy prize money up for grabs there is always the chance of a surprise or two. The betting will indicate the chances of most of the unraced and I would side with proven ability and experience here.

Water Buscuit has guaranteed form and would be a great bet at 6f. She may be just as well suited by 7f although being unproven always gives concern. Laureldean Spirit looks a capable sort and certainly has no concerns about this trip although her form looks decent it is still unproven to the extent of Water Biscuit. I would be more interested in backing her at an each way price if that is possible although I can see bookmakers resisting such a price.

I wouldn't be looking beyond these two juveniles for this race although I wouldn't think there will be too much value on offer in such a large field.

A watching race.

Theladyinquestion (NR)
Silent Secret (NR)

Race review: 'A competitive event and a good few winners will come from this. Water Biscuit didn't have any problems with the extra furlong and gained a deserved win. Held up a few lengths off the lead, she ran on well and showed a good turn of foot. Ghazwah ran much better today and narrowed the gap between herself and Water Biscuit. Gosden's juveniles are running into form and this two-year-old has scope to improve with racing. Whipperway done well to take third place. Laureldean Spirit ran her race but wasn't quite the class of some of these without being too far afield. She ran on again under pressure and will have little worry winning a race. Pink Symphony was the eye catcher. A big, robust filly, she will undoubtedly improve for the run and will be much wiser next time. Clearly this is a talented juvenile. Quite well backed, Cole's two-year-old wasn't ideally drawn, had trouble in running and showed inexperience. You could quite imagine she is potentially the best in this race.'

Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487256&r_date=2009-07-30&popup=yes

Other races:
2:05 Nottingham
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487264&r_date=2009-07-30&popup=yes
6:45 Musselburgh
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487259&r_date=2009-07-30&popup=yes
7:00 Epsom
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487247&r_date=2009-07-30&popup=yes

Wednesday, 29 July 2009

6:55 Sandown (29th July)

A maiden over 7f for a field of colts and one filly.

This looks a good opportunity for Azmeel to win on debut. This bay colt by Azamour has been entered for a number of Group races and a recent Stakes entry adds to the likelihood this two-year-old has ability. Gosden has had a rather indifferent year with his early-season juveniles with a number disappointing but he is a very capable trainer and it would be no surprise to hear this one has potential.

Mark Johnston is represented here by Cloud City a colt by Giant's Causway. This runner is quite short in the betting and it will be interesting to see what this runner can achieve on debut as the Spence-owned juveniles often need the run and figure more prominently on their second start.

Deauville Post has the form in the book with two promising efforts. Perhaps this two-year-old is something of a slow learner, or simply rather ponderous, as he has taken an age to get into both races and looks hard work. He may show a different side to his character with more experience under his belt and clearly has scope for improvement. It may pay to back this juvenile in-running as he could be significantly bigger odds if following the pattern of being outpaced and running on at the finish.

It is never easy giving away experience but over further distance talent usually prevails and I would give Azmeel the green light to take this.

A watching race.

Henry San (NR)

Race review: 'It didn't look likely for much of the way but Azmeel has started his career with a win. Slowly away, and given a considerate race, Gosden's classy-looking two-year-old done well to make up the deficit of many lengths and came from last to first to win a shade comfortably. There will be more to come and potentially this could be a decent juvenile.'

Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487241&r_date=2009-07-29&popup=yes

Other races:
2:05 Redcar
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487232&r_date=2009-07-29&popup=yes
2:45 Goodwood
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487221&r_date=2009-07-29&popup=yes
4:35 Goodwood
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487223&r_date=2009-07-29&popup=yes (Beyond Desire & Nimue hold Group entries and potentially talented juveniles)
6:00 Leicester
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487226&r_date=2009-07-29&popup=yes

7:45 Leicester

Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487229&popup=yes

Tuesday, 28 July 2009

3:10 Beverley (28th July)

A restricted auction race for fillies over 5f.

This doesn't look the most competitive race and with Gower Sophia regressing this is most likely out of the three form horses.

Tell Me A Story ran in a poor race on debut but at least showed an element of speed and tried her best. The winner won with ease and the others were probably limited so assessing Brittain's two-year-old is not the easiest task. I can imagine this filly showing speed and at least she has run over 5f which is a positive. She still has something to prove and although one of the main hopes may be more likely to be placed than win.

Miss Taken is not that big but ran well on debut over 6f at Pontefract on soft ground. It is interesting to note that Carroll had actually entered this filly for the Brocklesby but only appeared recently which suggests she had a problem along the way. The form of her initial start is certainly no more than average but that was respectable against many experienced juveniles. The main concern is whether going back to 5f will find her struggling for pace. There is a big difference between 5f and 6f and she may be run off her feet with a few of these. The good side is that she should finish her race and I can imagine a number of these setting a furious pace and this may suit those with stamina to run to the line. As long as she can hold a handy position a big run can be expected.

Much of the above applies to Dance For Julie who has run well on both starts and I would fancy her to win over 6f. It wouldn't surprise me to see her outpaced for much of this and then running on at the finish. I like the attitude of Haslam's juvenile and can see her as the most consistent of these. The worry is the distance.

Of the unraced Luv U Noo has to be respected. Burke usually needs the run with his debutantes be they can be fitter this time of the year and money would be a positive. Being a relatively cheap purchase and inexperience are likely to make this a stiff task and to be fair I would rather go with the form horses here.

An intriguing but limited event. Brittain's Tell Me A Story is proven over this distance which is a plus. Dance For Julie and Miss Taken are more likely types but the drop to 5f may cause them problems although finishing a race at this level is the most important quality. I would have to go with this pair as the main fancies and probably Dance For Julie as she has run well and has a touch of ability.

A watching race.

Gower Sophia (NR)

Race Review: 'Not many got into this and it was very much a two-horse race from some way out. Tell Me A Story held an advantage coming into the final furlong and Dance For Julie ran after her but never managed to claim his juvenile of Britain's. Miss Taken seemed to struggle to go the pace and although running on at the finish was never involved and disappointing in many respects.'

Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487207&r_date=2009-07-28&popup=yes

Other races:
2:00 Beverley
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487205&r_date=2009-07-28&popup=yes
4:00 Goodwood
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487216&r_date=2009-07-28&popup=yes
5:45 Goodwood
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487219&popup=yes

Monday, 27 July 2009

3:30 Yarmouth (27th July)

A restricted auction race over 7f.

Janeiro seemed to lose the plot with the application of the visor last time. I always have concerns about such addition as they often have a negative affect in my opinion. The fact that Dacsombe has decided to up this gelding to 7f looks another sign of desperation. I wouldn't back this two-year-old today.

I like the battling attitude of She's Ok who was a shade unlucky not to win last time out. An attractive, filly she will not get any better chance than such a limited race. However, whether she will appreciate this 7f is a matter of opinion. I would feel more inclined to bet if over the 5/6f. If she gets the distance, a big run will be on the cards.

Keyta Bonita sets the standard if the form of her debut run can be believed. That was rather a muddling affair and you always have to wonder if one or two of that group were flattered. On the plus side, Quinlan's juvenile was a short price that day which indicates they had high hopes of a decent run and in fairness ran with credit. This 7f should suit on breeding and being an auction race she finds herself on a handy weight too. Probably the most interesting of all the runners.

Go Forth North ran two consistent races although not looking the best of juveniles and took an age to get going at Salisbury when running on at the finish. I would have concerns Bell's runner may struggle to go the pace in the early stages and may need further. This is more her level and being such a restricted race may be more at home in this company. I still feel this two-year-old has something prove.

Of the unraced, Venutius may go well at a big price. McMahon does well with all his juveniles and has a good place rate with his debutantes.

A watching race.

Race review: 'A comprehensive win for Janeiro who always travelled well and ran out this 7f with zeal. Certainly a reformed performance from last times 6f with the visors. Dascombe's juvenile deserved a win and made up for a few disappointment for those who kept the faith. She's Ok didn't do much wrong and was always placed to run a big race with plenty of speed to hold a handy position. Any other day of the week she would have been victorious but the winner was a decent winner at this grade. Venutius ran well to take third place and supported McMahon's good place averages on debut. Go Forth North probably ran to a similar standard and Keyta Bonita was a disappointment. Time will tell if Quinlan's juvenile has any ability although they have had a poor season with the two-year-olds and it continued here.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487194&r_date=2009-07-27&popup=yes

Other races:
2:15 Southwell
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487179&r_date=2009-07-27&popup=yes
2:30 Yarmouth
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487192&r_date=2009-07-27&popup=yes
2:45 Southwell
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487180&r_date=2009-07-27&popup=yes
6:10 Windsor
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487186&r_date=2009-07-27&popup=yes
7:10 Windsor
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487188&r_date=2009-07-27&popup=yes

Sunday, 26 July 2009

2:05 Pontefract (26th July)

An intriguing maiden over this stiff 5f.

Flow Chart, Cian Rooney and Wijikuri are closely matched here and it will be interesting to see who is the better of the three.

Flow Chart is slightly worse off with Cian Rooney and could have his work cut out as the latter was also denied a run on the rail in the closing stages. Duffield's two-year-olds have been very quiet this season and they could do with a winner. It is worth noting that Flow Chart ran wide at Beverley, which is no easy task, and that factor should be considered. Barron's two-year-old has good natural speed and will probably make a bold bid and whether the main contenders can keep tabs on this juvenile is a matter of opinion. I don't think there will be must between these two.

Wijikuri makes this race all the more interesting (or complicated) as this colt by Zaffen was given a considerate introduction and ran on well, closing fast at Beverley and must be given a big chance today. Quinn's two-year-old is likely to find more improvement for that debut run and must be a similar level to the above mentioned and many will be hoping he has something extra to give.

All three of these juveniles ran difference races that day and it isn't beyond the realms they will finish similarly today.

Of the rest, Saddlers Lodge is quite well bred and Swinbank has a few exciting two-year-olds in his yard so he clearly has lines to his juveniles. The downside is that he has a poor win rate on debut and more likely to win on second start. Money for this runner would give more encouragement.

More lashes hasn't achieved a great standard so far but gives the impression there is more ability than we have seen.

In conclusion, this is an intriguing race which will probably be between Flow Chart, Cian Rooney and Wijikuri. I doubt the bookmakers will be wanting to go an each way price for any of these, which would be the best option on the betting front. Wijikuri would be a tentative selection as I don't think there will be much value. Clearly this colt has the potential to improve but he needs to do just that to be on level terms let alone win. However, I would give him the nod.

A watching race.

Emeralds Spirit (NR)

Race review:'The form of the Beverley race didn't hold up with Cian Rooney seemingly having too much pace for most of these and ran on well to hold the late challenge of Swinbank's Saddlers Lodge. Duffield will be pleased with this performance and to be fair she does well at Pontefract. This juvenile ran much better here and the front running tactics certainly put the others on the back foot. More Lashes ran a better race although you have to consider the form is pretty limited. Wijikuri was alwasy struggling to go the pace and either he didn't run his race or was flattered on debut. Time will tell although I wouldn't be in a rush to bet on Quinn's two-year-old afte this display. Flow Chart ran poorly and never seemed to be going. A few question marks with many of these. An average race by all accounts. Saddlers Lodge has the most to offer.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487002&r_date=2009-07-26&popup=yes

Other races:
1:50 Carlise
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486995&r_date=2009-07-26&popup=yes
2:15 Ascot
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486989&r_date=2009-07-26&popup=yes

(Potentially three talented juveniles here with Adertisment, Atlaal & Quarrel. All three have been entered for multiple Group races & Stakes events and this could turn out to be a hot contest. All of these are worth noting for the future.)


Saturday, 25 July 2009

1:50 Newmarket (25th July)

A big field of colts and one filly for this maiden over 7f on good to soft ground.

There was much to like about Timely Jazz on his last appearance here at Newmarket after needing the run on debut. This flashy chestnut by Noverre has a good level of natural speed which sees him well in this type of race where many find themselves struggling off the pace. There is little doubt that he sets a fair standard and a big run will be expected today.

Rasselas, trained by Bary Hills, competed in that same event and certainly showed ability. A sturdy-looking colt, he was a long way off the pace that day and made good headway over the last two furlongs and slightly hindered by running behind one of the runners. It would be no surprise to see this colt by Danehill Dancer make inroads on a few lengths defeat to Timely Jazz but whether he is capable of reversing the form is a big ask. Hills has good statistics with his juveniles priced 13/2 & less on their second start and to be within this price guide would be another positive.

Andrew Balding has been in fine form this season and Simenon gave the impression he has ability. Nothing went right for him on debut at Newmarket and although beaten a few lengths by the first and second (who have upheld the form, as has the fourth) he only started to get into gear when it was all too late. This juvenile is definitely one of the more interesting types in this field and his experience will see him in a better light today. It is difficult to compare form lines but at a price this two-year-old may have sound each way claims.

With plenty of well-bred juveniles making their debut (and a number Group entered) you always have to fear one or two may show a level of ability. However, proven form is a huge advantage and reason why the experienced juveniles are most likely to prevail.

A watching race.

Race review: 'A battle between Simenon and Timely Jazz with Balding's winning after Winston seemed unable to push out the favourite when struggling with his whip in the last hundred yards. The front two went clear of the third, Waseet, who ran an encouraging debut and going the right way.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486969&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes

Other races:
2:00 Ascot
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486952&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
2:05 York
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486982&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
2:30 Newcastle
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486962&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
2:40 Ascot
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486953&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
3:00 Newcastle
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486963&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
3:35 Newcastle
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=488500&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
4:00 Newmarket
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486973&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
4:15 York
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486986&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
6:45 Lingfield
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486958&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes
7:05 Salisbury
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486978&r_date=2009-07-25&popup=yes






Friday, 24 July 2009

2:30 Thirsk (24th July)

A maiden fillies' race over 7f.

Marie De Medici probably sets the form standard here with a close third last time at York. It is still quite difficult to assess the merit of that race. On balance, you would have to consider this daughter of Medecian has a fighting chance.

One of the more interesting runners is Knockenduff. This filly trained by Mick Channon ran well on debut without being hard pressed, giving the impression there was much better to come. Certainly this was the case in the betting at least as she went off one of the major fancies at Newbury but ran a disappointing race after coming across from a wide draw. Channon entered this filly for the Cherry Hinton which makes you consider more was expected and that may be the case today. The dilemma with this kind of juvenile is that they tend to be very much all-or-nothing bets - the classic first or last. Whether this step up to 7f is a plus or a minus is another quandary. The point that this two-year-old was very fancied on her second start and almost certainly disappointed to some extent makes me consider she is worth one more chance.

Emerald Spirit has been off course for some time after disappointing at Ayr. To be honest, the way this filly drifted on the exchanges it looked quite suspicious. Her running action suggests this better going will suit and a step up to 7f will be of benefit too. Weymes' juvenile has been entered to run in another Listed race since and may have ability. However, I wouldn't back this filly today as the stable doesn't inspire confidence.


Probably not the most competitive race and the form horses will be making the most of their chances here. Marie De Medici has claims and although unproven must run well. Knockenduff is the juvenile of interest for me. Channon's filly has something to prove after last time but was a positive in the betting and may run a big race today.

Note: (I would have been more tempted to bet if Knockenduff was a bigger price but at these odds (6/1 or so)there isn't much value to me. This 7f will help but I still have a few concerns.)

A watching race.

Rcae review: 'Big deductions here after Marie De Medici was withdrawn before the start. This was all about Admire The View who was well backed and travelled like the winner from a long way out. An effortless victory, connections were probably waiting for their winnings before the race had started. Mad Millie was the only one to hold any chance and Hetherton's filly showed an element of ability. Knockenduff managed to run on for a very distant third after being hampered early in the race which didn't help her causes but this performance didn't give much heart in ways. Channon's two-year-old is very sluggish and is likely to be outpaced in most races and then struggle to make up ground. This filly is limited.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486939&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes

Other races:
2:40 Ascot
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486919&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes
3:15 Ascot
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486920&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes
4:50 Thirsk
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486943&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes
6:40 Newmarket
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486933&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes
7:00 York
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486947&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes
7:10 Newmarket
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486934&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes
7:20 Chepstow
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486927&r_date=2009-07-24&popup=yes

Wednesday, 22 July 2009

2:10 Sandown (23rd July)

A maiden for colts and fillies over 5f at Sandown where a high draw can be an advantage.

Thamos Baines is probably better known for what he hasn't achieved in his racing so far. There is little doubt he didn't look the most ardent of juveniles at Yarmouth but few would be enthusiastic to chase the gifted Misheer. I note that Bell's two-year-old is now a gelding so that may be reason for his substantial lay off. I would rather watch than back this juvenile today although he could well be a reformed character.

Richard Hannon's juveniles have the knack of progressing with racing and Tarita was quite warm order on debut in a maiden over 6f at Newmarket. The betting will give a good guide to this ones chances and she shouldn't be discounted here.

Autocracy will probably be short in the betting for his debut. This colt by Green Desert has been given an entry for the Gimcrack, the Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) and a stakes race. Clearly Haggis fancies this juvenile to have ability. The negative is a low draw and the fact his trainer doesn't have the greatest win rate on debut although fair place averages. This juvenile could win if one of the stable's better types, however, he will need to be. I can see Autocracy being placed and showing his true colours second time out.

The Ed McMahon-Fretwell combination is always worth noting especially as they have a very good place rate on debut at any price. Final Answer is one for the short list.

Old Devil Moon was heavily-backed on debut but was withdrawn before the start due to trouble at the stalls. I can't remember what distance that was but get the feeling it was beyond this 5f. I mention this juvenile because there is a fair chance this could be gambled again.

Excellent Day has been given a Lowther entry which is a sign of interest. Channon's juveniles are very interesting when backed on their second start or relatively short in the betting. If this filly is fancied in the betting a big run could follow.

A bit of a mixed bag here with a few form horse and a potentially a good horse in Autocracy. I may be tempted to put a few quid on Old Devil Moon (on the exchanges) at big prices and hope a gamble follows. Not the easiest of races to assess.

A watching race.

Portman Boy (NR)

Race review: 'This was a two-horse race from some way out. Final Answer was well backed and ran out a tidy winner. This juvenile was clearly readied for a big run and fit and well. Always travelling with ease, this colt by Kyllachy never looked troubled and held Excellent Day, who looks a lovely filly with ability to win a race or two. These had the others at their mercy. Rockabilly Rebel held third position. Autocracy was fancied to run a big race but never seemed a lively chance from his low draw. There will be better to come from the Haggis two-year-old.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486913&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes

Other races:
2:20 Bath
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486889&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes
3:20 Sandown
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486915&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes
3:30 Bath
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486891&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes
6:45 Doncaster
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486896&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes
7:00 Folkestone
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486909&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes
7:10 Epsom
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486903&r_date=2009-07-23&popup=yes




Tuesday, 21 July 2009

6:10 Leicester (22nd july)

An auction for for colts and fillies over this 7f9y.

This doesn't look the most competitive of races and one or two form horses are likely to prove best.

Chairman Pat has been consistent although has the look of a juvenile that will struggle to get his head in front. Both races at Kempton and Lingfield have shown an element of ability and once again place claims are likely but that winning vein of form may prove more difficult to find.

Giulietta Da Vinci has been relatively fancied on both starts but needs to improve a fraction after her fifth to Gobama.

Richard Fahey has been in excellent for all season and is a powerful trainer in the two-year-old ranks. I wasn't sure what to make of Layla's Boy when second to Tukitinyasok at Ayr, but the winner, trained by Roger Fisher, ran a great race in a conditional sakes event suggesting the form could be strong. I can see this juvenile going very well here.

A watching race.


Chairman Pat (NR)
Omaruru (NR)

Race review: 'Not too many got into this and Giulietta Da Vinci ran well and out muscled Layla's Boy who was a touch disappointing. Perhaps the ground got to a few of these, although it didn't look the greatest of races.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486871&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes

Other races:
2:00 Lingfield
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486877&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes
2:20 catterick
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486864&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes
2:30 Lingfield
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=488262&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes
3:50 Catterick
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486867&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes
6:45 Leicester
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486872&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes
6:30 Sandown
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486884&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes
7:05 Sandown
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486885&r_date=2009-07-22&popup=yes

Monday, 20 July 2009

2:15 Yarmouth (21st July)

A restricted auction race for colts and fillies over 6f3y.

A fair number of form horses are competing here and many have a chance.

Poppy N' Penny has showed ability on both her starts. At the time her last performance looked a little disappointing but the winner and second have proven they are capable two-year-olds with a progressive profiles. However, she does have something to prove after that performance and even though Haggis' juvenile will appreciate this extra furlong I wonder if she has her limitations.

Farmers Wish is another with prospects. Her second to the easy winner Shamandar looks all the better for that juveniles running in the Super Sprint, when a narrow loser. Obviously Spearing juvenile isn't in that class but there is much to like about this filly by Val Royal, especially as she was rather slow away that day and run through the field in a taking manner. John Spearing is a talented trainer and very consistent when his juveniles are fancied to run a race. In addition, it is a plus to see Liam Jone taking this ride in favour of the Haggis juveniles, which one would presume he had the choice.

Baby Dottie done well at Lingfield on debut considering she had a wide draw, was slow away and run wide for most of the race. She isn't the biggest of fillies and seemed to tired in the final furlong when chased by the third. It is difficult to assess that form although she must have a glimmer of ability and this Phelan-trained juvenile could improve plenty for that initial start. Probably more of a watching brief for me today as she may be vulnerable to one or two. For a very cheap purchase, this two-year-old will not have to do much to pay her sales price (£500).

Tom Dascombe's Quaestor had showed speed on both his last starts and seemingly ran better last time. Beyond the front two it didn't look much of a race and you have to wonder what the winner attained that day although Florio Vincitore had run well on debut before being outclassed at Royal Ascot. It is a good sign that Kingscote is in the saddle and this is his level although he may be the sort to to be placed rather than win.

Of the unraced, Kings Bayonet must be respected from Henry Cecil's stable. He does well in auction races although his win rate on debut isn't as good as people imagine. The betting will be the best indicator. However, I wouldn't be tempted to back this juvenile as they are often under priced and have the knack of winning on their second start.

Brian Meehan's Butch And Sundance should be noted in the betting as the stable's gambles are extremely good. If this two-year-old is relatively short in the betting it will run well.

Not an easy race to appreciate with many form juvenile featuring a similar look. I can see Farmers Wish running a decent race although this could be a tricky affair.

A watching race.





Baby Dottie (NR)

Farmers Wish (NR)

Race review: Disappointing to see Baby Dottie and Farmers Wish being withdrawn earlier in the day. This was probably no more than an average auction event. Butch And Sundance was quite fancied in the betting consider he hadn't shown a great deal on debut. He wandered in the closing stages and Henry Cecil's Kings Bayonet wasn't done any favours. After a lengthy stewards' enquiry the result remained unaltered. Ivory Jazz ran on well to take third at 100/1. Poppy N' Penny and Quaestor have proven once and for all they are limited and need a poor race to win.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486856&r_date=2009-07-21&popup=yes


Other race:
2:30 Ffos Las
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486843&r_date=2009-07-21&popup=yes
3:30 Ffos Las
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486845&r_date=2009-07-21&popup=yes
7:50 Southwell
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486853&r_date=2009-07-21&popup=yes

Sunday, 19 July 2009

2:45 Yarmouth (20th July)

A restricted auction race for juveniles with a median price of no more than £15,000.

With the ground conditions in the lap of the gods it may pay to wait and see how the complexion of this races changes with potential non-runners or more rain.

Bradford seems to be making hard work of racing at present and the visor doesn't add to confidence and neither his capable apprentice taking the ride. Burke's juvenile has something to prove and he may well struggle to go the pace as he doesn't look the type to fired-up visor or not.

Syrian has been well supported on the exchanges this evening and Bell is a trainer that demands respect as he can win on debut and has the potential to unveil a decent prospect. The negative is that being in such a restricted race diminishes the chance of ability and his juveniles are often under priced. Experience is the key to these type of races and I think the form horses are most likely to hold the aces.

Universal Circus was a huge price when fourth in a respectable race at Newbury. The front two went clear that day but this juvenile is worth noting in the market, especially if backed.

Astonishment is quite a good-looking horse and the sort that gets on with the race and tries, which is half the battle at this level. The form of his Folkestone race is fair enough and there could be a chance that the Warwick race he contested was a decent event. It isn't easy to appreciate what this juvenile trained by Kirk has achieved although he has certainly proven more than the majority of these. The soft ground is an unknown, but I can see this two-year-old running a big race.

Of the unraced a few trainers are worth noting. Mark Tompkins, Chris Wall and James Eustace have the knack of winning at Yarmouth and could go well at a price.

A restricted race where proven form is a good starting point. Astonishment may not be the greatest talent but is the type to run a race and that could well be the difference between winning and losing here.

1PT EW ASTONISHMENT (AVAILABLE AT 9/1) (2nd)


Race review: 'This turned out to be a three-horse race and each ran well. Syrian was well-backed and ran out a fair winner of this 7f. Bell seemed to be optimistic before the race and they clearly consider this colt a prospect. Astonishment ran his consistent race and was a shade unlucky to find a horse of the winner's ability in an auction event. Kirk's juvenile will be winning soon. Universal Circus ran on well and had third place in the bag from a long way out. All three of these juveniles are capable of better.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486835&r_date=2009-07-20&popup=yes



Other races:
3:00 Ayr
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=487930&r_date=2009-07-20&popup=yes
7:20 Windsor
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486830&r_date=2009-07-20&popup=yes

Saturday, 18 July 2009

Latest Article to be published in this month's Racing Ahead publication

HCE heralds the starts of a new monthly round-up dedicated to two-year-old racing, pinpointing some of the most exciting juveniles in Flat race training. Whether you are keen to note a potential speculative bet or find a two-year-old with a touch of class, our approach highlights a select number of juveniles for your consideration. With the majority of these youngsters being lightly raced or yet to make their debut, this is your chance to gain a privileged insight to a number of juveniles that have caught our eye from trainers big and small.
 
Almadaa (E Dunlop)
This colt by Exceed And Excel may not be one of Hamdan Al Maktoum’s classier juveniles but a win should come his way. Dunlop’s charge was quite a short price for a debut at York but didn’t show much that day and may have disappointed to some extent considering support came once more at Lingfield all-weather. To be fair, Almadaa ran a very good race from such a high draw, which turned out to be an impossible obstacle. Richard Hills managed to get into contention after a slow start but these exertions were too much and this two-year-old tired markedly in the final furlong. This colt is very nippy and would be ideal on a turning track. Dunlop has entered this juvenile for a couple of Stakes races and the fact this runner has been relatively short priced on both starts suggests connections are expecting more.

Call To Arms (M Johnston)
The Johnston stable has been progressing well after a quiet start to the season and from a large string of juveniles this trainer has to be respected within the two-year-old ranks. Call To Arms ran a very encouraging race on debut when a well backed 2/1 shot against an experienced juvenile (Ballodair) trained by Richard Fahey, finishing a battling second at Thirsk over 6f. This brown colt by Shamardal has the scope to prove a decent two-year-old and a win should come his way very soon. One of a number of juveniles Johnston has entered to run in the Gimcrack Stakes, connections will be assessing whether Call To Arms will be aiming for such a prestigious race. A promising maiden win would be an ideal stepping stone to more illustrious pattern race engagements.

Duplicity (R Hannon)
This colt by Cadeaux Genereux is a good-looking sort and improving with racing. After a satisfactory debut at Kempton, this strong juvenile ran with spirit at Warwick over 7f, holding every chance leading most of the way until Mingun Bell finished well to win a shade comfortably. For an auction event that was a pretty competitive race, illustrated by achieving a much quicker time than the first division of this race. I can see a number a winners coming from this contest. Duplicity is progressing well and must have a great chance of winning a similar race at auction level and most likely capable of much better as the season progresses.

Knockenduff (M R Channon)
Mick Channon is a trainer worth noting, especially his juveniles on their second start. I thought Knockenduff would run a big race last time at Newbury but this filly by Oratorio ran too bad to be true. Perhaps trying to get in a handy position from a wide draw didn’t suit as she was given more time and ran on well when making her debut at Pontefract. These tactics may be employed next time and this may be the way to go from now on. There are a couple of interesting pointers to suggest this juvenile has ability. She was fancied to run well last time at Newbury, in a competitive race, and the fact that Channon gave her an entry to run in the Cherry Hinton is another positive. As a punter, it may be blessing she disappointed as a much bigger price may be there for the taking. I certainly wouldn’t give up on this filly and she must be worth a bet on her next start if contesting maiden company.

Mr David (B Meehan)
This colt by Sky Mesa (USA) is a talented two-year-old. Meehan’s juvenile was all the talk when making his debut at Windsor, but after looking to have a fair chance for most of the way, tired in the final furlong to finish fourth, beaten a number of lengths. Meehan clearly considers this attractive juvenile to have some class, being entered for the Gimcrack and a Listed race. More will be expected next time.

Never The Waiter (B Meehan)
While considering Meehan’s juveniles, we may as well highlight a two-year-old yet to makes its debut. This bay colt by Kyllachy cost 58,000gns and is presently owned by Meehan. A half-brother to Espartano, amongst other winnings siblings, this individual is an entrant for the Gimcrack Stakes, National Stakes and Condition Stakes. Generally, Meehan’s juveniles improve a good deal for their first run so it may be worth taking a watching brief on debut. I will certainly be considering this juvenile on his second start as the trainer is very good at placing his horses.

Palio Square (K Burke)
Burke is one of those trainers you can rely on to do his best for horse and punter - as consistency is always a key factor with his professional approach to racing two-year-olds. This season has seen a number of high points with Reignier, Corporal Maddox & Silenceofthewind being just a few of his juveniles to capture the headlines of late. Palio Square could be another talent. This colt by Harlan’s Holiday is bred to be fast and the signal of a Gimcrack entry gives reason to take note. Owned by Mogeely Stud and Mrs Maura Gittens, this two-year-old is likely to follow the pattern of most of Burke’s juveniles and need the run. I would watch this juvenile on debut and consider a bet on its second start.

Pink Flames (T Tate)
Tom Tate knows the time of day and he isn’t a trainer to waste his time entering juveniles for prestigious races for the fun of a day out. Pink Flames has been entered to run in the Moyglare Group 1 and recently in the Lowther Stakes Group 2. Although these are early entry stages, this filly is worthy of respect. Mrs Fitri Hay, who has been a very successful owner with many and varied trainers, is a significant owner for Tate and he will be wanting to impress. This chestnut filly by Redback could well run a big race on debut as Tate’s juveniles are capable of winning at first time of asking and often at fancy odds. It is encouraging that he has been noted as saying this year’s crop of two-year-olds are amongst the best he has trained for many years. Whether Pink Flames will reach the dizzy heights of Group success is something that only time will tell, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see this juvenile attain a level of ability. If priced at fair odds on debut, I will be having a few quid each way.

Secret Queen (B Meehan)
Another juvenile, this time a filly, trained by Meehan. I am amazed this runner is yet to win as she has the ability to take an everyday maiden with ease. Her last two efforts have been somewhat bemusing affairs as this two-year-old owned by Jabber Abdullah has travelled with ease, running all over her opposition, to be caught both times close home. This daughter of Zafeen has simply had the misfortune to be beaten by two talented individuals and to be fair, she may prove to be the better juvenile in the long-term. Perhaps more holding-up tactics will be considered in future as she has so much natural pace she must be a next to unstoppable if a race turns into a crawl. This two-year-old is unlikely to be the biggest of prices in an run-of-the-mill maiden, however, I wouldn’t be surprised if you are not counting your winnings by halfway. The final furlong has been something of an enigma for this filly at present although I feel this has been more down to bad luck than a trend to haunt her followers. A talented filly.

Showcasing (J Gosden)
I wouldn’t normally detail a juvenile such as Showcasing because in many ways he has proven that he is a talent. However, this son of Oasis Dream has a touch of class, which makes me consider there is much better to come. After an impressive debut at Newbury, where he looked a shade unlucky not to win, there followed a comprehensive victory at Yarmouth against a few touted juveniles. Ideally, this two-year-old may appreciate better ground as he does have rather a pronounced knee action suggesting firm going may not be his bag. I can see this colt owned by K Abdulla contesting the Gimcrack and running a big race. Achieving such a level of ability to win a pattern-class event is never going to be easy but Gosden must be looking forward to the prospect of another talented juvenile in his stable.

Tres Coronas (T D Barron)
Handicaps are often difficult races to appreciate but I was impressed by Tres Coronas on his last effort at Newmarket, finishing second behind Lamh Albasser. This bay gelding by Key Of Luck is an impressively-strong juvenile who is improving with time and distance. Barron has done well with this two-year-old, especially to win over 5f and a narrow loser at Newcastle over 6f. This step up to 7f will bring about greater opportunities and running off a fair handicap mark this gelding is certainly worth noting.
 

2:00 Newmarket (18th July)

With the weather changing by the hour it is difficult to know what the ground conditions will be by the start of racing and caution is the keyword for today.

A 6f maiden with potentially a couple of decent juveniles on show.

Mr David was very much a talking-horse on debut but finished fourth after tiring in the final furlong. This colt by Sky Mesa has been given an entry for the Gimcrack and a Listed raced, which indicates there is more to come. Whether this American-bred juvenile will appreciate soft ground is open to debate, however, I am sure this two-year-old has ability.

Saeed Bin Suroor has been in good form of late and his two-year-old are always worth noting on their second start. Marine Spirit caught the eye on debut at Goodwood more for what he didn't do in the race. A lovely-looking colt, Dettori let this son of Big Shuffle come home in his own time and must be capable of much more today.

Of the rest Ghost ran quite well on debut, but more will be needed here. While Ongoodform has been given Stakes race entry.

With the ground a worry I would rather watch than bet although I do get the feeling Mr David will run a big race today.

A watching race.

Race review: 'Mr David showed the other side of the coin today with a professional win over the bold-running Ghost. Meehan's two-year-old must have disappointed on debut at Windsor but earned his keep today and will go on from this victory. The second, trained by Barry Hills, should find a race soon. Marine Spirit was a little disappointing. Centigrade showed promise too.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486564&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes

Other races:
1:50 Newbury
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486558&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes
2:30 Ripon
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486571&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes
3:25 Newbury
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=476050&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes
5:55 Lingfield
Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486552&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes
6:25 Lingfield
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486553&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes
7:10 Haydock
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486547&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes
7:40 Haydock
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486548&r_date=2009-07-18&popup=yes

Thursday, 16 July 2009

2:00 Newbury (17th July)

A maiden fillies' race over 6f8y.

A large field with a mix of raced juveniles and many making their debuts.

Deloria ran on well when second behind Full Mandate at Newbury. Eve Johnson Houghton is a very capable trainer who, like her father, has trained top-class juveniles. This filly has been entered for the Lowther Stakes Group 2, which certainly catches the eye. The winner won with plenty in hand that day and the third has disappointed next time when stepping up in distance to compete in a nursery, so the form is somewhat unproven.

Roger Charlton has had a quiet season so far with his juveniles and Love Match ran with an element of promise on debut. The form of that race has taken a few knocks since but you always have to be careful with this trainer's juveniles as they can improve immensely on their second start. The betting will tell the story for this filly and if she is backed or relatively short priced then a big run should be expected.

There was much to like about Itwasonlyakiss on her second start when just failing to beat Above Limits who is a fair juvenile. Since this fillies disappointing effort at Royal Ascot, she has been given an entry for the Lowther and could well be suited by this step up to 6f. It is always a slight worry when a horse disappoints but few are good enough to win at the highest level and for that reason we have to trust that she is as good as her Sandown second. With being trained by a less fashionable handler, I can imagine there will be opportunity to gain respectable odds. Quite often the form horses are gambled before the off, especially if the unraced have a few doubts. This filly must have a decent chance if running her race.

The betting will be the best guide to those making their debuts. A number of these are worth mentioning as there are a few expensive juveniles and elite trainers.

Conniption cost 225,000gns and must be respected. Meehan has a pretty poor win rate on debut and unless this filly is a short price I wouldn't expect a win today. His best two-year-olds can show a good deal of ability, however, they are usually primed for their second start. It is worth noting that Vanishing Grey was entered to run, but doubtful, and she would have been first string which implies this daughter of Danehill Dancer will need the outing.

Tranvaal Sky would be interesting if supported in the market.

Henry Cecil is a superb trainer and Walk On Water could well have ability. It has be noticeable that the majority of his juveniles win on their second start and often fail at short prices on debut.

It is always possible a classy filly could appear from the debutantes but it is never easy to attain a level of fair form horses or match their experience. Deloria, Love Match and Itwasonlyakiss set a decent mark and it would be no surprise to see one of these take this race. Love Match has most to prove but would figure much better if backed. Deloria ran on well and although unproven, has the potential to run a big race. Itwasonlyakiss has proven a level of ability behind Above Limits and if the Royal Ascot disappointment wasn't a sign of regressing then a Hills' filly could run a race at a decent price. In a large field there is always a concern there may be a surprise or two, but that is the nature of such races.

A watching race.

Deloria (NR)
Itwasonlyakiss (NR)
Walkingonwater (NR)

Race review: 'As the rain fell and non-runners withdrew aplenty, the complexion of this races changed markedly. Conniption won this well and could be a promising juvenile. All I can say is that if this is the second string then I want to see the first! (Vanishing Grey, who I am sure is a very talented juvenile is one to watch out for). Difficult to know what this race equates too at this time but Zubova and Cash Queen Anna ran well. Love Match travelled well and looked to have a fair chance but struggled to finish the race. It may be the case that these testing conditions were just too much to cope.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486520&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes

Other races:
2:20 Haydaock
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486514&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
2:35 Newbury
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486521&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
2:45 Nottingham
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486535&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
3:10 Newbury
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486522&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
3:20 Nottingham
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486536&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
6:10 Newmarket
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486528&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
6:35 Pontefract
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486540&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes
6:55 Hamilton
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486508&r_date=2009-07-17&popup=yes

Wednesday, 15 July 2009

6:40 Epsom (16th July)

A maiden over 7f consisting of a field of colts & geldings.

It will be interesting to see how Dubawi Phantom, Deauville Post and My Red Kite fare considering there was little between the three when they ran at Salisbury. My Red Kite seemed to have a mighty lead but the pair closed at the finish with Deauville Post probably going the best at the line. It is difficult to know what to make of Dubawi Phantom's second at Newmarket when narrowly losing out to Missionaire. The quandary is whether Simcock's juvenile improved on that occasion. In ways I have to imagine this was a better performance than Salisbury but I wouldn't like to guarantee it. These three juveniles are difficult to assess themselves let alone before considering the rest of the field.

Yarra River ran well on debut at Windsor and will appreciate this 7f. The winner of that race, Lucky General, is a very talented horse and the third Dubai Set has run very well since. Balding's juveniles have a very good win and place rate on their second start and for that reason much be respected. This colt has been entered for a number of Stakes races since, which adds to the likihood of ability and the stable have been in very good form of late. To a certain extent Yarra River is still unproven, which is always a concern. On balance, I would think this juvenile will run a decent race.

Sea Lord is one of the more likely debutantes. It is worth noting that this son of Cape Cross has been entered for the Gimcrack Group 2 (one of five juveniles for the trainer) and this is an encouraging sign. Johnston has a fair win rate on debut although far from impressive. On this wayward, turning course experience and often front-running tactics can be an advantage. The jury is out whether this colt will be forward enough to do just that.

A tricky race in ways. The form of Dubawi Phanton, Deauville Post and My Red Kite is difficult to assess. It revolves around whether Dubawi Phantom improved or not for his Newmarket second. Simcock's juvenile seemed to run his race at Salisbury so it really is a puzzler. Of the unraced, Sea Lord is certainly one to note.

A watching race.

Saint Thomas (NR)

Race review: Dubawi Phantom proved the better of the Salisbury runners and won by a length or so. Sea Lord is a big horse and will improve for the experience, but in truth ran a very good race on debut. Yarra River once again showed ability to take third. Probably no more that an average maiden.'

Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486489&popup=yes

Other races:
2:10 Leicester
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486500&r_date=2009-07-16&popup=yes
2:20 Hamilton
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486494&r_date=2009-07-16&popup=yes
6:20 Bath
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486476&popup=yes
7:05 Doncaster
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486483&popup=yes
7:35 Doncaster
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486484&r_date=2009-07-16&popup=yes








Tuesday, 14 July 2009

3:50 Lingfield (15th July)

An interesting fillies' maiden over this turning 6f with a selection of form horses and potentially decent debutantes.

Piccadilly Filly, Mellifera, Pastel Blue & Slasl re-oppose here after their recent encounter at Kempton. The first named, trained by E J Creighton, didn't have much luck in-running on her second start from a wide draw and may be capable of better although she does have a tendency to pull. The form of the Kempton race has taken a knock with Hot Pursuits beaten quite easily next time out. I would have thought Spencer would have had the choice of rides and his decision to partner Luluti doesn't bode well for Pastel Blue.

Clearly the experience of the form horses is a big advantage, especially on a turning track where it is all to easy to lose position. Saying that, a number of unraced juveniles have some merit.

Luluti has been entered to run in the Lowther Stakes Group 2 and with Spencer taking the ride this 100,000gns purchase could well have a future. It will be interesting to see how this filly fares in the betting although a high draw and the fact that Callaghan has a poor win rate on debut doesn't inspire confidence. I would rather watch this two-year-old today.

Puff is similarly entered for the Lowther and in many ways appeals more than the Callaghan runner, simply because Beckett is more likely to win on debut and has decent place statistics with all of his juveniles on debut at any price. This filly by Camacho cost 95,000gns and with Sanders taking the ride must be considered even though the draw is far from ideal. It is interesting to note that their other Lowther entrant, Tropical Treat, won well at Windsor and that is an additional sign of encouragement. An interesting debutant worthy of respect.

Of the others Hope 'N' Reason may have a hope. Simcock is certainly capable of winning on debut and this filly has been given a Stakes race entry, which is often a sign of potential for this trainer who can win at big odds.

A tricky race to assess with a mix of form and unraced juveniles. A high draw is never good news here and inexperience is a major concern, too. Piccadilly Filly is probably the best of the form horses but seems a touch temperamental. Of the unraced I would plump for Puff and Hope 'N' Reason. I would want a price to start thinking about betting.

An intriguing race.

*(Millefera (W Swinburn) has very good win and place statistics when priced 13/2 & less on second start.)

A watching race.

Race review:'A fascinating race with Piccadilly Filly going clear only to tire and get caught by the debutante Puff, trained by Beckett. The winner done well from a high draw and was out the back for much of the race. Little doubt a touch of class made the difference here and this filly powered home down the straight. So Surreal ran well to hold third place from Millefera. The juveniles from the Kempton race seemed to run to form. Piccadilly Filly certainly has enough ability to win a race, although, as seen at Kempton, struggles to finish her race.'

Full result: http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486473&r_date=2009-07-15&popup=yes

Other races:
2:30 Catterick
Full result:
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486457&r_date=2009-07-15&popup=yes

6:50 Kempton
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486464&r_date=2009-07-15&popup=yes
7:20 Kempton
Full result:http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=486465&r_date=2009-07-15&popup=yes