2:35 Beverley

This second division is all the more intriguing as Mr Smithson has to overcome being drawn in stall one. Although the form of this horse is unproven he showed a good attitude on debut and ran a creditable race. I couldn’t even consider betting from such a low draw and will be hoping, if he actually runs, that he disappoints giving a better opportunity at a later date. Tom Folan ran out a seemingly adequate second on debut just losing out to Black Baccara. This filly made up good ground after being off the pace and she will have her supporters. Again, the draw leaves something to be desired and she isn’t the most imposing of sorts. Of the others Fratellino was entered to run in the Brocklesby. Lily Lenor & Oondiri look to be second strings, while Mind Of Her Own has been entered to run in a claiming race. I can imagine her drifting in the betting. In summary, this is a race where Mr Smithson has to defy a terrible draw. Tom Folan will have her supporters but I wouldn’t be tempted.

A watching race.

Race review: 'The Brocklesby entered Fratellino managed to win although the leaders resembled bumper cars more than horses in the final two furlongs. This Auction House colt looked very well and his coating was glowing in the Beverley sun. A pleasing performance on debut. This may not have been anything other than an average auction event (time will tell) but this juvenile looks strong and may progress. Gower Sophia ran on well at huge odds (80/1) and Tom Folan ran a similar race as she did on debut. The claiming entered Mind Of Her Own finished sixth. Mr Smithson was inconvenienced by the low draw and an awkward start. He didn't have much go right today and may be worth considering at a later date. The form of his debut run is still unproven, which makes assessment somewhat difficult, however it isn't beyond the realms he has ability.'

4 comments:

NoseAhead said...

Good spot with Fratellino @ 20/1 Jason :)
We were running late so missed it ourselves, but hope at that price you had a little on yourself
Keep em coming!
Regards Anthony

jason said...

Hi Anthony,
No, I didn't have a bet on this occasion. Thought it was worth pointing out that it was entered in the Brocklesby. So many of the Brocklesby entrants have done well this year it is quite amazing. I done some research covering all the Brocklesby entrants for the past 3 years but they didn't attain anything like this year. I think it must be coincidence. It is something I will review each year as it may become a trend.

Regards,
Jason

NoseAhead said...

I think the ground has been consistant this year!
Remember all the freaky weather last season?
Missed meetings, firm one day soft the next.
Always something to spoil the Stats aint there:{

jason said...

Hi Anthony,

Yes, it certainly helps to have similar going conditions, especially early season. My research is quite specific. It considered juveniles that held an entry for the Brocklesby (but didn't run in the race). I reviewed these juveniles on there debut runs in races other than the Brocklesby, their original target. This year such runners have done exceptionally well, many winning at big prices. The interesting angle about this research is that unless you have the first entry stage of the Brocklesby for previous years (which most people don't) they can't analyse this 'hidden' data. I will certainly keep this data under review as it may be worthy of greater consideration.

Regards,
Jason